How it picks bets — Doesn't model the match — it watches Bot 1 and backs the outcome Bot 1 most under-rates vs the market (whenever Bot 1's pick sits ≥8pts over the market). Against an overconfident favourite that's usually the Draw (or the underdog) — so it's a contrarian longshot: it loses when the favourite wins (most games), but pays at long odds when an over-backed favourite slips to a draw or upset. Always on; stake scales with the overconfidence, capped at 3u.
Performance — all tournaments
P&L
+10.74u
ROI
+27.5%
Record (W-L-P)
4-10-0
Hit rate
29%
Staked
39.1u
Avg odds
4.27
Max drawdown
-17.2u
Open
0
Equity curve — cumulative P&L
Bet log — 14 bets placed (newest first)
| placed | match | comp | pick | odds | stake | result | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul 07:10 | France v Spain | WC | France 1X2 | 2.35 | 3.0u | lost | -3.00u |
| 11 Jul 05:01 | Argentina v Switzerland | WC | Draw 1X2 | 3.55 | 3.0u | won (1-1, 90 min — then ET/pens) | +7.65u |
| 11 Jul 05:01 | Norway v England | WC | Draw 1X2 | 3.65 | 1.6u | won (1-1, 90 min — then ET/pens) | +4.24u |
| 10 Jul 08:11 | Spain v Belgium | WC | Belgium 1X2 | 5.5 | 3.0u | lost | -3.00u |
| 9 Jul 07:02 | France v Morocco | WC | Draw 1X2 | 3.8 | 2.5u | lost | -2.50u |
| 7 Jul | Switzerland v Colombia | WC | Draw 1X2 | 3.0 | 2.9u | won (0-0, 90 min — then ET/pens) | +5.80u |
| 3 Jul | Colombia v Ghana | WC | Draw 1X2 | 4.4 | 3.0u | lost | -3.00u |
| 3 Jul | Argentina v Cape Verde | WC | Draw 1X2 | 8.5 | 2.9u | won (1-1, 90 min — then ET/pens) | +21.75u |
| 3 Jul | Australia v Egypt | WC | Egypt 1X2 | 2.45 | 3.0u | lost (1-1, 90 min — then ET/pens) | -3.00u |
| 2 Jul | Switzerland v Algeria | WC | Algeria 1X2 | 4.2 | 3.0u | lost | -3.00u |
| 2 Jul | Spain v Austria | WC | Draw 1X2 | 5.0 | 2.3u | lost | -2.30u |
| 30 Jun | Mexico v Ecuador | WC | Ecuador 1X2 | 3.7 | 2.9u | lost | -2.90u |
| 30 Jun | France v Sweden | WC | Draw 1X2 | 6.0 | 3.0u | lost | -3.00u |
| 30 Jun | Ivory Coast v Norway | WC | Ivory Coast 1X2 | 3.7 | 3.0u | lost | -3.00u |