N4 · World Cup 2026 bot fleet

A transparent, self-graded paper-betting fleet — each bot a different model, tracked live. No real money.
Updated 2026-07-19 18:24 · bets 22 Jun – 18 Jul

The fleet — current performance

Bot 1 · Elo
Poisson-Elo goal model
-17.15u
38-40-3 · ROI -9.0% · 0 open
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Bot 2 · xG
Dixon-Coles on expected goals
-1.37u
5-6-0 · ROI -4.8% · 0 open
details →
Bot 3 · Player
expected-XI goal aggregation
-10.90u
0-4-0 · ROI -100.0% · 0 open
details →
Bot 4 · Totals
Dixon-Coles Over / Under (xG)
no bets yet
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Bot 5 · Scorer
anytime goalscorer (player npxG)
no bets yet
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Derived & specialist bots
Bot 6 · Fade
always-on fade of Bot 1's overconfidence (3u cap)
+10.74u
4-10-0 · ROI +27.5% · 0 open
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Bot 7 · Fade+
high-conviction fade — gated on a proven pattern, uncapped
+12.91u
4-10-0 · ROI +25.7% · 0 open
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Bot 8 · Mirror
convex tail-harvester — lays favourites, flat
+1.59u
5-9-0 · ROI +22.7% · 0 open
details →
Bot 9 · Sniper
snipes Mythos's deep-total Unders (paper monitor)
no bets yet
details →
P&L is the value strategy (edge vs the closing line). Benchmark — Bot 1 flat (1u every pick): 33-19-0 · +0.55u · ROI +1.1%. Click any bot for its full stats + bet log. · Tournament & how it works →
Next slate: none scheduled.