N4 · World Cup 2026 bot fleet

A transparent, self-graded paper-betting fleet — each bot a different model, tracked live. No real money.
Updated 2026-07-13 19:19 · bets 22 Jun – 14 Jul

The fleet — current performance

Bot 1 · Elo
Poisson-Elo goal model
-28.44u
33-39-3 · ROI -15.9% · 5 open
details →
Bot 2 · xG
Dixon-Coles on expected goals
-9.24u
3-6-0 · ROI -39.0% · 2 open
details →
Bot 3 · Player
expected-XI goal aggregation
-10.90u
0-4-0 · ROI -100.0% · 0 open
details →
Bot 4 · Totals
Dixon-Coles Over / Under (xG)
no bets yet
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Bot 5 · Scorer
anytime goalscorer (player npxG)
no bets yet
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Derived & specialist bots
Bot 6 · Fade
always-on fade of Bot 1's overconfidence (3u cap)
+13.74u
4-9-0 · ROI +38.1% · 1 open
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Bot 7 · Fade+
high-conviction fade — gated on a proven pattern, uncapped
+18.91u
4-9-0 · ROI +42.8% · 1 open
details →
Bot 8 · Mirror
convex tail-harvester — lays favourites, flat
+0.09u
3-7-0 · ROI +1.8% · 2 open
details →
Bot 9 · Sniper
snipes Mythos's deep-total Unders (paper monitor)
no bets yet
details →
P&L is the value strategy (edge vs the closing line). Benchmark — Bot 1 flat (1u every pick): 32-18-0 · -0.70u · ROI -1.4%. Click any bot for its full stats + bet log. · Tournament & how it works →
Next slate: 14 Jul · 1 matches.